Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002304) Underpins Its Share Price

SZSE:002304
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002304) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 54x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002304 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 8th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 40% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 25% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery with six simple checks.

You might be able to find a better investment than Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.