Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.

SHSE:603866 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥11.0b

Toly BreadLtd Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Toly BreadLtd is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.5% and 6.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.5% in 3 years.

Key information

10.5%

Earnings growth rate

9.8%

EPS growth rate

Food earnings growth22.4%
Revenue growth rate6.2%
Future return on equity11.5%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated12 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 13%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 15
Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 13%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Recent updates

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Toly BreadLtd's (SHSE:603866) Returns On Capital

Dec 11
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Toly BreadLtd's (SHSE:603866) Returns On Capital

Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603866) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Nov 18
Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603866) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Toly BreadLtd's (SHSE:603866) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Sep 06
Toly BreadLtd's (SHSE:603866) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 13%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 15
Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 13%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Aug 07
Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Little Excitement Around Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603866) Earnings

Jul 15
Little Excitement Around Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603866) Earnings

Returns On Capital At Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) Paint A Concerning Picture

Jun 07
Returns On Capital At Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) Paint A Concerning Picture

Is Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) A Risky Investment?

Apr 17
Is Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) A Risky Investment?

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603866) Low P/E

Mar 24
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Toly Bread Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603866) Low P/E

Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Mar 06
Toly BreadLtd (SHSE:603866) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSE:603866 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20267,256698N/A9893
12/31/20256,781652N/A9444
12/31/20246,256596N/A8211
9/30/20246,340550223840N/A
6/30/20246,57357285884N/A
3/31/20246,68355157847N/A
12/31/20236,759574-51811N/A
9/30/20236,725609-8895N/A
6/30/20236,68757423843N/A
3/31/20236,71062185994N/A
12/31/20226,6866401661,066N/A
9/30/20226,6996852391,116N/A
6/30/20226,602753921,095N/A
3/31/20226,461759-471,059N/A
12/31/20216,335763-1031,014N/A
9/30/20216,255765-185969N/A
6/30/20216,164834-161,091N/A
3/31/20215,9678511261,087N/A
12/31/20205,9638832081,101N/A
9/30/20205,8948663111,148N/A
6/30/20205,8257972911,048N/A
3/31/20205,82475784938N/A
12/31/20195,644683-5888N/A
9/30/20195,431682-30806N/A
6/30/20195,22468378789N/A
3/31/20194,987655271775N/A
12/31/20184,833642407803N/A
9/30/20184,649618473787N/A
6/30/20184,431593N/A778N/A
3/31/20184,248550N/A716N/A
12/31/20174,080513N/A653N/A
9/30/20173,884468N/A533N/A
6/30/20173,662429N/A512N/A
3/31/20173,464424N/A505N/A
12/31/20163,305436N/A519N/A
9/30/20163,097423N/A578N/A
6/30/20162,887391N/A500N/A
3/31/20162,721372N/A485N/A
12/31/20152,563347N/A427N/A
9/30/20152,438329N/A416N/A
3/31/20152,154278N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20142,058273N/A319N/A
12/31/20131,758255N/A319N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 603866's forecast earnings growth (10.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 603866's earnings (10.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the CN market (25.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 603866's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 603866's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (13.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 603866's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 603866's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 10:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Toly Bread Co.,Ltd. is covered by 17 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ruochen LvChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Wendan WangChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Jiaqi YuChina Merchants Securities Co. Ltd.