Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on XIANGPIAOPIAO Food Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603711) Current Share Price Momentum?

SHSE:603711
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XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's (SHSE:603711) stock is up by a considerable 51% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd is:

9.1% = CN¥294m ÷ CN¥3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.09 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.1% ROE

When you first look at it, XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.6%, we may spare it some thought. But XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd saw a five year net income decline of 3.8% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

That being said, we compared XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 2.5% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603711 Past Earnings Growth December 17th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 603711 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 43% (where it is retaining 57% of its profits), XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 45%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 9.8%.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about XIANGPIAOPIAO FoodLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.