Stock Analysis

SDIC Zhonglu Fruit Juice Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600962) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

SHSE:600962
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in the Food industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider SDIC Zhonglu Fruit Juice Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600962) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600962 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 16th 2025

What Does SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.2% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 24% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware SDIC Zhonglu Fruit JuiceLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.