Insufficient Growth At Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited (SHSE:600598) Hampers Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.9x Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited (SHSE:600598) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 36x and even P/E's higher than 70x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Heilongjiang Agriculture certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Heilongjiang Agriculture
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Heilongjiang Agriculture.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Heilongjiang Agriculture would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 39% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.7% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 39%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Heilongjiang Agriculture's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Heilongjiang Agriculture's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Heilongjiang Agriculture's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Heilongjiang Agriculture you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600598
Heilongjiang Agriculture
Engages in the contracting and management of cultivated land in China.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.