Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's (SHSE:600354) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
Even though Gansu Dunhuang Seed Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600354) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.
Check out our latest analysis for Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd
Zooming In On Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.70 for the year to September 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥278m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥72.3m. Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd.
Our Take On Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 75% over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. While earnings are important, another area to consider is the balance sheet. We've done some analysis and you can see our take on Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's balance sheet by clicking here.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600354
Gansu Dunhuang Seed GroupLtd
Engages in the seed, cotton, and food processing businesses in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.