Stock Analysis

Does Jizhong Energy Resources (SZSE:000937) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SZSE:000937
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Jizhong Energy Resources Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000937) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Jizhong Energy Resources

What Is Jizhong Energy Resources's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Jizhong Energy Resources had debt of CN¥17.6b, up from CN¥15.9b in one year. However, it also had CN¥12.5b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥5.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000937 Debt to Equity History January 7th 2025

A Look At Jizhong Energy Resources' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jizhong Energy Resources had liabilities of CN¥19.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥7.84b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥12.5b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.18b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥11.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Jizhong Energy Resources is worth CN¥22.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 0.98 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Jizhong Energy Resources's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.1 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Importantly, Jizhong Energy Resources's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 30% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jizhong Energy Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Jizhong Energy Resources recorded free cash flow of 48% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

To be frank both Jizhong Energy Resources's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Jizhong Energy Resources stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Jizhong Energy Resources has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.