Stock Analysis

Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited's (SHSE:601225) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

SHSE:601225
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With its stock down 2.2% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Shaanxi Coal Industry (SHSE:601225). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shaanxi Coal Industry's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Shaanxi Coal Industry

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shaanxi Coal Industry is:

25% = CN„33b ÷ CN„133b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN„1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN„0.25 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Shaanxi Coal Industry's Earnings Growth And 25% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Shaanxi Coal Industry has a significantly high ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 9.8% which is quite remarkable. Under the circumstances, Shaanxi Coal Industry's considerable five year net income growth of 20% was to be expected.

As a next step, we compared Shaanxi Coal Industry's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 21% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601225 Past Earnings Growth July 3rd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shaanxi Coal Industry is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shaanxi Coal Industry Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Shaanxi Coal Industry has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 59%, meaning the company only retains 41% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Moreover, Shaanxi Coal Industry is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 58%. However, Shaanxi Coal Industry's future ROE is expected to decline to 19% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Shaanxi Coal Industry's performance has been quite good. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.