Stock Analysis

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Western Securities Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002673) P/E Ratio

SZSE:002673
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When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Western Securities Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002673) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 38.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Western SecuritiesLtd could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Western SecuritiesLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002673 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Western SecuritiesLtd.

Is There Enough Growth For Western SecuritiesLtd?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Western SecuritiesLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 37% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 37% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that Western SecuritiesLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Western SecuritiesLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Western SecuritiesLtd that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Western SecuritiesLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Western SecuritiesLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.