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Sealand Securities Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000750) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
Sealand Securities Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000750) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 62.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Sealand Securities has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Sealand Securities
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sealand Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Sealand Securities?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sealand Securities would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 62% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sealand Securities' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Sealand Securities revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sealand Securities (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000750
Adequate balance sheet very low.