Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Guoyuan Securities Company Limited's (SZSE:000728) Share Price

SZSE:000728
Source: Shutterstock

Guoyuan Securities Company Limited's (SZSE:000728) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Guoyuan Securities could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Guoyuan Securities

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000728 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Guoyuan Securities' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guoyuan Securities would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.2% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.8% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 26% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guoyuan Securities' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Guoyuan Securities' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Guoyuan Securities' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Guoyuan Securities.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guoyuan Securities, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guoyuan Securities is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.