Stock Analysis

Guangzhou Restaurant Group (SHSE:603043) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SHSE:603043
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited (SHSE:603043) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Restaurant Group

What Is Guangzhou Restaurant Group's Debt?

As you can see below, Guangzhou Restaurant Group had CN„726.9m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN„1.14b in cash, so it actually has CN„411.5m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603043 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024

How Strong Is Guangzhou Restaurant Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangzhou Restaurant Group had liabilities of CN„1.79b due within a year, and liabilities of CN„818.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN„1.14b in cash and CN„232.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN„1.24b.

Given Guangzhou Restaurant Group has a market capitalization of CN„9.06b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Guangzhou Restaurant Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Fortunately, Guangzhou Restaurant Group grew its EBIT by 4.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Restaurant Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Guangzhou Restaurant Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Guangzhou Restaurant Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

Although Guangzhou Restaurant Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN„411.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 72% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN„648m. So we don't think Guangzhou Restaurant Group's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangzhou Restaurant Group you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.