Stock Analysis
- China
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- Food and Staples Retail
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- SHSE:603708
Does Jiajiayue Group (SHSE:603708) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603708) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiajiayue Group
How Much Debt Does Jiajiayue Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiajiayue Group had CN¥894.0m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥949.2m, one year before. But it also has CN¥2.81b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.92b net cash.
How Healthy Is Jiajiayue Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiajiayue Group had liabilities of CN¥7.52b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥4.03b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.81b as well as receivables valued at CN¥373.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥8.36b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥6.77b, we think shareholders really should watch Jiajiayue Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. Given that Jiajiayue Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.
Unfortunately, Jiajiayue Group's EBIT flopped 10% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiajiayue Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Jiajiayue Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Jiajiayue Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing Up
While Jiajiayue Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.92b. The cherry on top was that in converted 246% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.1b. So while Jiajiayue Group does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Jiajiayue Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603708
Jiajiayue Group
Engages in the operation of supermarkets businesses in People’s Republic of China.