Stock Analysis

We Think Ziel Home Furnishing Technology's (SZSE:301376) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

SZSE:301376
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Investors signalled that they were pleased with Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301376) most recent earnings report. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Ziel Home Furnishing Technology

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SZSE:301376 Earnings and Revenue History October 31st 2024

A Closer Look At Ziel Home Furnishing Technology's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to September 2024, Ziel Home Furnishing Technology had an accrual ratio of -0.53. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.9b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥404.0m. Ziel Home Furnishing Technology shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Ziel Home Furnishing Technology's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Ziel Home Furnishing Technology's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Ziel Home Furnishing Technology's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 31% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Ziel Home Furnishing Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Ziel Home Furnishing Technology you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ziel Home Furnishing Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.