Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Shenzhen Crastal Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300824) Massive 40% Price Jump

Published
SZSE:300824

Shenzhen Crastal Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300824) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 40% share price jump in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 48.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been pleasing for Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd

SZSE:300824 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.9%. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 38% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 19% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Crastal TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.