Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Lancy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002612)
Lancy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002612) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 52x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Lancy has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Lancy
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lancy.Is There Any Growth For Lancy?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Lancy's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 154% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 31% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 23% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 24% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Lancy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Lancy's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lancy that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Lancy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:002612
Lancy
Engages in the design, production, and sale of branded clothing, apparel, and home textile products in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.