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Qu Mei Home Furnishings Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603818) Surges 26% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement
Despite an already strong run, Qu Mei Home Furnishings Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603818) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 31% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Consumer Durables industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd
What Does Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd?
Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 27% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 10% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd's P/S
Despite Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd (including 1 which is significant).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603818
Qu Mei Home Furnishings GroupLtd
Research, develops, designs, manufactures, and sells home furnishing products in China.