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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd (SHSE:603326)
The subdued market reaction suggests that Nanjing OLO Home Furnishing Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603326) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
View our latest analysis for Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd
Zooming In On Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.14. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥241m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥83.5m. Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Surprisingly, given Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥19m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
Our Take On Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd's Profit Performance
In conclusion, Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd has 4 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
Our examination of Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603326
Nanjing OLO Home FurnishingLtd
Engages in the design, research and development, production, sale, and service of furniture products in China.
Excellent balance sheet slight.