Stock Analysis

Shanghai Dragon (SHSE:600630) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SHSE:600630
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Shanghai Dragon Corporation (SHSE:600630) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Dragon

What Is Shanghai Dragon's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Dragon had debt of CN¥404.2m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥472.3m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥383.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥20.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600630 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2025

A Look At Shanghai Dragon's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Dragon had liabilities of CN¥784.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥101.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥383.9m and CN¥288.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥213.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Shanghai Dragon has a market capitalization of CN¥3.73b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Shanghai Dragon has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.33 and interest cover of 4.0 times, it seems to us that Shanghai Dragon is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Notably, Shanghai Dragon made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of CN¥37m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Dragon will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Shanghai Dragon actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Happily, Shanghai Dragon's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Shanghai Dragon is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Dragon you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.