Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd (XSEC:000951) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of 000951 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

000951 (CN¥17.5) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥28.29)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000951 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000951 (CN¥17.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥28.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000951 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000951?

Key metric: As 000951 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000951. This is calculated by dividing 000951's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000951's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	15.1x
Earnings	CN¥1.36b
Market Cap	CN¥20.46b

000951 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.8x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000951's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000951 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	16.5x
301039 CIMC Vehicles (Group)	18.8x	24.9%	CN¥19.2b
000528 Guangxi Liugong Machinery	17x	31.4%	CN¥23.1b
688425 China Railway Construction Heavy Industry	18.7x	17.2%	CN¥26.3b
603298 Hangcha Group	11.5x	12.2%	CN¥22.9b
000951 Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd	15.1x	16.7%	CN¥20.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000951 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000951's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment	5x	n/a	US$428.42m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000951 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000951's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000951 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.1x
Fair PE Ratio	21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000951 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000951 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥17.50	CN¥20.37 +16.4%	5.3%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	5
Nov ’25	CN¥16.31	CN¥20.37 +24.9%	5.3%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	5
Oct ’25	CN¥17.38	CN¥20.42 +17.5%	5.9%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	4
Sep ’25	CN¥14.37	CN¥20.42 +42.1%	5.9%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	4
Aug ’25	CN¥15.58	CN¥20.42 +31.1%	5.9%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	4
Jul ’25	CN¥14.77	CN¥20.42 +38.3%	5.9%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	4
Jun ’25	CN¥15.42	CN¥20.42 +32.4%	5.9%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	4
May ’25	CN¥16.35	CN¥20.42 +24.9%	5.9%	CN¥22.50	CN¥19.50	n/a	4
Apr ’25	CN¥16.61	CN¥20.11 +21.1%	7.4%	CN¥22.50	CN¥18.45	n/a	4
Mar ’25	CN¥16.84	CN¥19.16 +13.7%	9.6%	CN¥21.00	CN¥16.12	n/a	4
Feb ’25	CN¥14.45	CN¥19.16 +32.6%	9.6%	CN¥21.00	CN¥16.12	n/a	4
Jan ’25	CN¥13.36	CN¥19.99 +49.6%	5.4%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.45	n/a	4
Dec ’24	CN¥15.47	CN¥19.99 +29.2%	5.4%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.45	n/a	4
Nov ’24	CN¥14.72	CN¥17.84 +21.2%	18.3%	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.40	CN¥16.31	4
Oct ’24	CN¥16.48	CN¥19.75 +19.8%	21.8%	CN¥22.80	CN¥12.40	CN¥17.38	4
Sep ’24	CN¥16.06	CN¥19.75 +23.0%	21.8%	CN¥22.80	CN¥12.40	CN¥14.37	4
Aug ’24	CN¥17.91	CN¥19.73 +10.1%	22.0%	CN¥22.80	CN¥12.30	CN¥15.58	4
Jul ’24	CN¥16.85	CN¥18.33 +8.8%	19.2%	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.30	CN¥14.77	4
Jun ’24	CN¥14.60	CN¥18.33 +25.5%	19.2%	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.30	CN¥15.42	4
May ’24	CN¥14.59	CN¥18.33 +25.6%	19.2%	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.30	CN¥16.35	4
Apr ’24	CN¥16.89	CN¥18.33 +8.5%	19.2%	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.30	CN¥16.61	4
Mar ’24	CN¥17.09	CN¥17.60 +3.0%	21.6%	CN¥21.00	CN¥12.30	CN¥16.84	3
Feb ’24	CN¥16.43	CN¥14.97 -8.9%	30.6%	CN¥21.00	CN¥9.90	CN¥14.45	3
Jan ’24	CN¥14.84	CN¥11.95 -19.5%	17.2%	CN¥14.00	CN¥9.90	CN¥13.36	2
Dec ’23	CN¥14.90	CN¥11.95 -19.8%	17.2%	CN¥14.00	CN¥9.90	CN¥15.47	2
Nov ’23	CN¥12.45	CN¥12.45 0.0%	12.4%	CN¥14.00	CN¥10.90	CN¥14.72	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd Valuation