Guangxi Liugong Machinery Valuation
Is 528 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 528 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 000528 (CN¥10.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥4.27)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 000528 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 528?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 528's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | CN¥20.57b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.8x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 528's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 14.9x | ||
688425 China Railway Construction Heavy Industry | 13.9x | 45.6% | CN¥21.5b |
600761 Anhui HeliLtd | 13.4x | 15.6% | CN¥18.8b |
603298 Hangcha Group | 15.5x | 15.9% | CN¥28.0b |
600967 Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd | 16.9x | 10.0% | CN¥13.6b |
000528 Guangxi Liugong Machinery | 19.6x | 28.2% | CN¥20.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000528 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 528's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000528 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (30.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 528's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 19.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 24.8x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000528 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CN¥10.54 | CN¥11.00 +4.4% | 15.5% | CN¥12.70 | CN¥9.30 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’25 | CN¥8.59 | CN¥9.06 +5.4% | 8.2% | CN¥10.16 | CN¥8.30 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | CN¥7.85 | CN¥8.80 +12.1% | 4.8% | CN¥9.30 | CN¥8.30 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | CN¥6.96 | CN¥8.80 +26.4% | 4.8% | CN¥9.30 | CN¥8.30 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | CN¥6.74 | CN¥9.07 +34.6% | 10.8% | CN¥10.46 | CN¥8.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | CN¥6.32 | CN¥9.11 +44.1% | 9.4% | CN¥10.46 | CN¥8.30 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | CN¥6.33 | CN¥9.32 +47.2% | 7.7% | CN¥10.46 | CN¥8.46 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | CN¥7.18 | CN¥9.32 +29.8% | 7.7% | CN¥10.46 | CN¥8.46 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | CN¥7.34 | CN¥8.83 +20.3% | 16.3% | CN¥10.46 | CN¥6.51 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | CN¥8.07 | CN¥7.39 -8.4% | 25.7% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | CN¥7.90 | CN¥7.39 -6.4% | 25.7% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | CN¥7.33 | CN¥7.39 +0.8% | 25.7% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.70 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’24 | CN¥7.62 | CN¥6.54 -14.2% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥10.54 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | CN¥6.77 | CN¥6.54 -3.4% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥8.59 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | CN¥6.73 | CN¥6.54 -2.9% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥7.85 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | CN¥6.22 | CN¥6.54 +5.1% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥6.96 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | CN¥5.88 | CN¥6.54 +11.2% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥6.74 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | CN¥6.24 | CN¥6.54 +4.8% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥6.32 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | CN¥5.97 | CN¥6.54 +9.5% | 23.1% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥4.70 | CN¥6.33 | 3 |
| Oct ’23 | CN¥5.65 | CN¥6.70 +18.6% | 19.6% | CN¥8.40 | CN¥5.20 | CN¥7.18 | 3 |
| Sep ’23 | CN¥6.11 | CN¥7.10 +16.2% | 22.4% | CN¥9.10 | CN¥5.20 | CN¥7.34 | 3 |
| Aug ’23 | CN¥6.39 | CN¥8.05 +26.0% | 29.3% | CN¥11.22 | CN¥4.89 | CN¥8.07 | 4 |
| Jul ’23 | CN¥6.71 | CN¥8.05 +20.0% | 29.3% | CN¥11.22 | CN¥4.89 | CN¥7.90 | 4 |
| Jun ’23 | CN¥6.33 | CN¥8.05 +27.2% | 29.3% | CN¥11.22 | CN¥4.89 | CN¥7.33 | 4 |
| May ’23 | CN¥6.13 | CN¥8.05 +31.4% | 29.3% | CN¥11.22 | CN¥4.89 | CN¥7.62 | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.