XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.

XSEC:000425 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥90.2b

XCMG Construction Machinery Valuation

Is 000425 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000425 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CN¥7.37
Fair Value
3.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 000425 (CN¥7.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥7.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000425 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000425?

Key metric: As 000425 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000425. This is calculated by dividing 000425's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000425's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsCN¥5.80b
Market CapCN¥90.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000425's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000425 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29x
000157 Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology
16.7x23.0%CN¥60.3b
600031 Sany Heavy IndustryLtd
25.4x26.5%CN¥135.3b
000800 FAW Jiefang GroupLtd
54.2x32.0%CN¥38.7b
600066 Yutong BusLtd
19.7x17.6%CN¥63.1b
000425 XCMG Construction Machinery
15.6x25.8%CN¥90.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000425 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (29x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000425's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.7xn/aUS$401.33m
No more companies available in this PE range
000425 15.6xIndustry Avg. 34.8xNo. of Companies63PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000425 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000425's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000425 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio30.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000425 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000425 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥7.64
CN¥9.59
+25.5%
9.2%CN¥11.00CN¥8.40n/a7
Jan ’26CN¥7.93
CN¥9.59
+21.0%
9.2%CN¥11.00CN¥8.40n/a7
Dec ’25CN¥8.09
CN¥9.52
+17.7%
10.1%CN¥11.00CN¥8.15n/a7
Nov ’25CN¥8.16
CN¥8.74
+7.1%
9.8%CN¥9.60CN¥7.30n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥7.77
CN¥7.57
-2.6%
14.3%CN¥8.44CN¥5.30n/a6
Sep ’25CN¥6.36
CN¥7.40
+16.4%
16.5%CN¥8.44CN¥5.10n/a6
Aug ’25CN¥6.41
CN¥7.60
+18.6%
18.1%CN¥9.20CN¥5.10n/a6
Jul ’25CN¥7.17
CN¥7.66
+6.8%
18.8%CN¥9.50CN¥5.10n/a6
Jun ’25CN¥7.25
CN¥7.66
+5.6%
18.8%CN¥9.50CN¥5.10n/a6
May ’25CN¥7.03
CN¥7.53
+7.1%
18.9%CN¥9.70CN¥5.10n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥6.58
CN¥6.84
+4.0%
11.7%CN¥7.66CN¥5.20n/a6
Mar ’25CN¥6.13
CN¥6.89
+12.4%
13.1%CN¥7.90CN¥5.10n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥5.57
CN¥6.89
+23.7%
13.1%CN¥7.90CN¥5.10CN¥7.646
Jan ’25CN¥5.46
CN¥7.17
+31.4%
15.7%CN¥8.70CN¥5.10CN¥7.936
Dec ’24CN¥5.55
CN¥7.57
+36.4%
10.4%CN¥8.70CN¥6.70CN¥8.094
Nov ’24CN¥5.61
CN¥7.57
+34.9%
10.4%CN¥8.70CN¥6.70CN¥8.164
Oct ’24CN¥6.37
CN¥7.57
+18.8%
10.4%CN¥8.70CN¥6.70CN¥7.774
Sep ’24CN¥6.41
CN¥7.27
+13.4%
10.4%CN¥7.90CN¥6.20CN¥6.363
Aug ’24CN¥6.85
CN¥6.48
-5.5%
23.5%CN¥7.90CN¥4.10CN¥6.414
Jul ’24CN¥6.77
CN¥6.48
-4.4%
23.5%CN¥7.90CN¥4.10CN¥7.174
Jun ’24CN¥5.90
CN¥5.75
-2.5%
22.0%CN¥7.90CN¥4.10CN¥7.255
May ’24CN¥6.86
CN¥5.12
-25.4%
12.2%CN¥5.80CN¥4.10CN¥7.034
Apr ’24CN¥6.93
CN¥5.49
-20.7%
17.1%CN¥7.00CN¥4.10CN¥6.585
Mar ’24CN¥7.19
CN¥5.49
-23.6%
17.1%CN¥7.00CN¥4.10CN¥6.135
Feb ’24CN¥5.90
CN¥5.49
-6.9%
17.1%CN¥7.00CN¥4.10CN¥5.575
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
CN¥9.59
Fair Value
20.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/01 22:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. is covered by 28 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Qi ShiBOCI Research Ltd.
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research
Fiona LiangBofA Global Research