CRRC Valuation
Is 601766 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 601766 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 601766 (CN¥6.99) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥26.87)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 601766 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601766?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 601766's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | CN¥187.38b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 8x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 601766's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 31.5x | ||
600150 China CSSC Holdings | 49.2x | 40.9% | CN¥163.2b |
600031 Sany Heavy IndustryLtd | 30x | 22.8% | CN¥137.8b |
000425 XCMG Construction Machinery | 15.4x | 26.4% | CN¥83.1b |
600066 Yutong BusLtd | 31.3x | 24.2% | CN¥56.9b |
601766 CRRC | 16.6x | 11.3% | CN¥187.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (31.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 601766's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (30.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 601766's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 16.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 21.8x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601766 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CN¥6.99 | CN¥7.50 +7.4% | 21.0% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 7 |
| Apr ’25 | CN¥6.87 | CN¥7.44 +8.3% | 21.6% | CN¥9.50 | CN¥4.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | CN¥6.55 | CN¥7.20 +10.0% | 22.3% | CN¥9.50 | CN¥4.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Feb ’25 | CN¥5.63 | CN¥7.10 +26.2% | 23.7% | CN¥9.50 | CN¥4.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | CN¥5.26 | CN¥7.35 +39.7% | 20.4% | CN¥9.50 | CN¥4.80 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | CN¥5.26 | CN¥7.33 +39.3% | 19.1% | CN¥9.50 | CN¥4.80 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’24 | CN¥5.31 | CN¥7.30 +37.5% | 19.8% | CN¥9.50 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 8 |
| Oct ’24 | CN¥5.84 | CN¥7.53 +28.9% | 19.4% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’24 | CN¥5.97 | CN¥7.53 +26.1% | 19.4% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 7 |
| Aug ’24 | CN¥6.70 | CN¥6.50 -3.0% | 23.3% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | CN¥6.50 | CN¥6.47 -0.5% | 23.3% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | CN¥6.88 | CN¥7.15 +3.9% | 21.8% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | n/a | 7 |
| May ’24 | CN¥6.99 | CN¥6.70 -4.2% | 24.7% | CN¥9.20 | CN¥4.60 | CN¥6.99 | 8 |
| Apr ’24 | CN¥6.12 | CN¥5.83 -4.7% | 15.1% | CN¥7.30 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥6.87 | 9 |
| Mar ’24 | CN¥5.79 | CN¥5.83 +0.7% | 15.1% | CN¥7.30 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥6.55 | 9 |
| Feb ’24 | CN¥5.42 | CN¥5.73 +5.7% | 14.5% | CN¥6.90 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥5.63 | 9 |
| Jan ’24 | CN¥5.11 | CN¥5.70 +11.5% | 13.9% | CN¥6.90 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥5.26 | 9 |
| Dec ’23 | CN¥5.32 | CN¥5.69 +6.9% | 14.0% | CN¥6.90 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥5.26 | 9 |
| Nov ’23 | CN¥4.89 | CN¥5.55 +13.4% | 17.2% | CN¥6.90 | CN¥3.99 | CN¥5.31 | 9 |
| Oct ’23 | CN¥4.69 | CN¥5.59 +19.1% | 16.0% | CN¥6.90 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥5.84 | 9 |
| Sep ’23 | CN¥4.96 | CN¥5.74 +15.8% | 15.2% | CN¥6.90 | CN¥4.30 | CN¥5.97 | 9 |
| Aug ’23 | CN¥5.12 | CN¥5.93 +15.7% | 18.4% | CN¥7.41 | CN¥4.24 | CN¥6.70 | 9 |
| Jul ’23 | CN¥5.17 | CN¥5.90 +14.2% | 19.0% | CN¥7.41 | CN¥4.10 | CN¥6.50 | 9 |
| Jun ’23 | CN¥5.07 | CN¥6.17 +21.7% | 18.3% | CN¥7.41 | CN¥4.10 | CN¥6.88 | 9 |
| May ’23 | CN¥5.05 | CN¥6.34 +25.6% | 19.4% | CN¥8.10 | CN¥4.10 | CN¥6.99 | 9 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.