Optimistic Investors Push Shenzhen Tongye Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300960) Shares Up 45% But Growth Is Lacking
Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Tongye Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300960) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 45% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 17% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 68x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 33x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
The earnings growth achieved at Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's Growth Trending?
Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 42% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 37% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300960
Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, sale, and maintenance services of rail transit electrical equipment products in China.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.