Stock Analysis

Is JSTI Group (SZSE:300284) A Risky Investment?

SZSE:300284
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that JSTI Group (SZSE:300284) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for JSTI Group

What Is JSTI Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that JSTI Group had debt of CN¥2.26b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.43b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.67b in cash, so it actually has CN¥403.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300284 Debt to Equity History January 17th 2025

A Look At JSTI Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that JSTI Group had liabilities of CN¥6.88b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥233.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.67b and CN¥8.98b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥4.53b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that JSTI Group has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, JSTI Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for JSTI Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 49% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JSTI Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While JSTI Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, JSTI Group's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case JSTI Group has CN¥403.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with JSTI Group's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for JSTI Group you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.