What Jiangxi Huawu Brake Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300095) 41% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Jiangxi Huawu Brake Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300095) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 41% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Machinery industry is similar at about 2.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd
What Does Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.7% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300095
Jiangxi Huawu BrakeLtd
Researches, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells industrial brakes and their control systems in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.