Guangdong Dongpeng Holdings Co.,Ltd.

SZSE:003012 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥7.3b

Guangdong Dongpeng HoldingsLtd Valuation

Is 003012 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 003012 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 003012 (CN¥6.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 003012 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 003012?

Key metric: As 003012 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 003012. This is calculated by dividing 003012's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 003012's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.3x
EarningsCN¥399.92m
Market CapCN¥7.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 003012's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 003012 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.6x
001322 Arrow Home Group
47.6x43.6%CN¥8.1b
603992 Xiamen Solex High-tech Industries
21.2x15.6%CN¥8.0b
603408 Runner (Xiamen)
10.9x14.1%CN¥5.7b
002791 Guangdong KinLong Hardware ProductsLtd
46.6x46.8%CN¥10.0b
003012 Guangdong Dongpeng HoldingsLtd
18.3x26.0%CN¥7.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 003012 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the peer average (31.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 003012's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
003012 18.3xIndustry Avg. 23.6xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 003012 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the CN Building industry average (23.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 003012's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

003012 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 003012 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 003012 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥6.33
CN¥6.97
+10.0%
1.4%CN¥7.06CN¥6.80n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥5.93
CN¥6.97
+17.5%
1.4%CN¥7.06CN¥6.80n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥6.72
CN¥6.93
+3.2%
1.4%CN¥7.00CN¥6.80n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥5.53
CN¥9.40
+70.0%
21.8%CN¥12.00CN¥7.00n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥5.91
CN¥9.70
+64.1%
17.6%CN¥12.00CN¥7.90n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥6.28
CN¥9.90
+57.6%
15.3%CN¥12.00CN¥8.50n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥6.91
CN¥9.90
+43.3%
15.3%CN¥12.00CN¥8.50n/a3
May ’25CN¥6.82
CN¥9.90
+45.2%
15.3%CN¥12.00CN¥8.50n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥7.59
CN¥12.51
+64.9%
27.4%CN¥18.25CN¥9.80n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥7.57
CN¥12.51
+65.3%
27.4%CN¥18.25CN¥9.80n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥7.34
CN¥12.51
+70.5%
27.4%CN¥18.25CN¥9.80n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥8.25
CN¥13.61
+65.0%
20.2%CN¥18.25CN¥11.20n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥8.50
CN¥13.61
+60.1%
20.2%CN¥18.25CN¥11.20n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥8.96
CN¥13.61
+51.9%
20.2%CN¥18.25CN¥11.20CN¥5.934
Oct ’24CN¥10.65
CN¥13.81
+29.7%
18.8%CN¥18.25CN¥12.00CN¥6.724
Sep ’24CN¥11.64
CN¥12.88
+10.6%
7.9%CN¥14.50CN¥12.00CN¥5.534
Aug ’24CN¥12.13
CN¥12.48
+2.8%
9.6%CN¥14.50CN¥11.40CN¥5.914
Jul ’24CN¥8.09
CN¥11.13
+37.5%
21.6%CN¥14.50CN¥8.00CN¥6.284
Jun ’24CN¥7.42
CN¥11.13
+49.9%
21.6%CN¥14.50CN¥8.00CN¥6.914
May ’24CN¥8.30
CN¥10.00
+20.5%
16.3%CN¥12.00CN¥8.00CN¥6.823
Apr ’24CN¥8.74
CN¥9.85
+12.7%
21.8%CN¥12.00CN¥7.70CN¥7.592
Mar ’24CN¥9.42
CN¥9.85
+4.6%
21.8%CN¥12.00CN¥7.70CN¥7.572
Feb ’24CN¥9.27
CN¥9.85
+6.3%
21.8%CN¥12.00CN¥7.70CN¥7.342
Jan ’24CN¥7.86
CN¥8.35
+6.2%
7.8%CN¥9.00CN¥7.70CN¥8.252
Dec ’23CN¥8.63
CN¥8.35
-3.2%
7.8%CN¥9.00CN¥7.70CN¥8.502
Nov ’23CN¥7.12
CN¥8.35
+17.3%
7.8%CN¥9.00CN¥7.70CN¥8.962

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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