Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co.,Ltd.

SZSE:002791 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥10.0b

Guangdong KinLong Hardware ProductsLtd Valuation

Is 002791 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002791 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002791 (CN¥28.03) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥23.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002791 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002791?

Key metric: As 002791 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002791. This is calculated by dividing 002791's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002791's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.6x
EarningsCN¥212.60m
Market CapCN¥10.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002791's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002791 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.3x
001322 Arrow Home Group
47.6x43.6%CN¥8.1b
603992 Xiamen Solex High-tech Industries
21.2x15.6%CN¥7.8b
003012 Guangdong Dongpeng HoldingsLtd
18.3x26.0%CN¥7.3b
002011 Zhejiang Dun'an Artificial Environment
14.2x18.5%CN¥12.0b
002791 Guangdong KinLong Hardware ProductsLtd
46.6x46.8%CN¥9.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002791 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.6x) compared to the peer average (25.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002791's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002791 46.6xIndustry Avg. 23.6xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002791 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.6x) compared to the CN Building industry average (23.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002791's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002791 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.6x
Fair PE Ratio39.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002791 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002791 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥28.03
CN¥30.59
+9.1%
31.0%CN¥43.37CN¥17.60n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥29.30
CN¥30.59
+4.4%
31.0%CN¥43.37CN¥17.60n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥31.01
CN¥27.60
-11.0%
19.5%CN¥34.40CN¥19.50n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥22.16
CN¥31.75
+43.3%
25.5%CN¥40.00CN¥19.50n/a4
Aug ’25CN¥23.06
CN¥38.31
+66.1%
17.8%CN¥47.13CN¥28.10n/a4
Jul ’25CN¥27.31
CN¥39.31
+43.9%
18.5%CN¥47.13CN¥28.10n/a4
Jun ’25CN¥38.02
CN¥39.31
+3.4%
18.5%CN¥47.13CN¥28.10n/a4
May ’25CN¥33.18
CN¥39.31
+18.5%
18.5%CN¥47.13CN¥28.10n/a4
Apr ’25CN¥36.79
CN¥43.68
+18.7%
17.8%CN¥51.00CN¥30.58n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥37.77
CN¥52.41
+38.8%
8.4%CN¥56.00CN¥46.24n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥33.61
CN¥52.41
+55.9%
8.4%CN¥56.00CN¥46.24n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥40.49
CN¥60.93
+50.5%
6.9%CN¥64.00CN¥55.00n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥44.15
CN¥64.26
+45.6%
12.1%CN¥74.00CN¥55.00n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥49.34
CN¥64.26
+30.2%
12.1%CN¥74.00CN¥55.00CN¥29.303
Oct ’24CN¥51.93
CN¥81.28
+56.5%
11.0%CN¥91.85CN¥70.00CN¥31.013
Sep ’24CN¥58.45
CN¥81.28
+39.1%
11.0%CN¥91.85CN¥70.00CN¥22.163
Aug ’24CN¥64.97
CN¥87.87
+35.2%
15.3%CN¥105.60CN¥73.00CN¥23.063
Jul ’24CN¥64.71
CN¥92.87
+43.5%
9.8%CN¥105.60CN¥85.00CN¥27.313
Jun ’24CN¥61.75
CN¥92.87
+50.4%
9.8%CN¥105.60CN¥85.00CN¥38.023
May ’24CN¥69.85
CN¥91.40
+30.9%
9.0%CN¥105.60CN¥85.00CN¥33.184
Apr ’24CN¥80.41
CN¥98.17
+22.1%
9.0%CN¥110.00CN¥87.00CN¥36.794
Mar ’24CN¥98.06
CN¥98.17
+0.1%
9.0%CN¥110.00CN¥87.00CN¥37.774
Feb ’24CN¥98.54
CN¥98.17
-0.4%
9.0%CN¥110.00CN¥87.00CN¥33.614
Jan ’24CN¥103.95
CN¥100.17
-3.6%
6.7%CN¥110.00CN¥93.00CN¥40.494
Dec ’23CN¥103.00
CN¥100.17
-2.8%
6.7%CN¥110.00CN¥93.00CN¥44.154
Nov ’23CN¥80.05
CN¥100.17
+25.1%
6.7%CN¥110.00CN¥93.00CN¥49.344

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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