Arrow Home Group Co., Ltd.

SZSE:001322 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥8.6b

Arrow Home Group Valuation

Is 001322 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 001322 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 001322 (CN¥8.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥13.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 001322 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 001322?

Key metric: As 001322 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 001322. This is calculated by dividing 001322's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 001322's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio50.6x
EarningsCN¥169.19m
Market CapCN¥8.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 001322's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 001322 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
003012 Guangdong Dongpeng HoldingsLtd
19.6x26.0%CN¥7.8b
603992 Xiamen Solex High-tech Industries
21.9x15.6%CN¥8.1b
002791 Guangdong KinLong Hardware ProductsLtd
45.7x43.2%CN¥9.7b
603408 Runner (Xiamen)
10.9x14.1%CN¥5.8b
001322 Arrow Home Group
50.6x40.6%CN¥8.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 001322 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 001322's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
001322 50.6xIndustry Avg. 24.1xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 001322 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the CN Building industry average (24.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 001322's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

001322 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio50.6x
Fair PE Ratio33.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 001322 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 001322 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥8.94
CN¥8.11
-9.3%
14.3%CN¥10.00CN¥6.70n/a5
Dec ’25CN¥8.50
CN¥8.11
-4.6%
14.3%CN¥10.00CN¥6.70n/a5
Nov ’25CN¥8.86
CN¥8.11
-8.5%
14.3%CN¥10.00CN¥6.70n/a5
Oct ’25CN¥9.06
CN¥8.24
-9.1%
12.8%CN¥10.00CN¥7.10n/a5
Sep ’25CN¥7.16
CN¥9.56
+33.5%
20.4%CN¥13.00CN¥7.20n/a5
Aug ’25CN¥6.81
CN¥10.20
+49.8%
14.8%CN¥13.00CN¥8.60n/a5
Jul ’25CN¥7.48
CN¥10.20
+36.4%
14.8%CN¥13.00CN¥8.60n/a5
Jun ’25CN¥8.87
CN¥10.20
+15.0%
14.8%CN¥13.00CN¥8.60n/a5
May ’25CN¥9.07
CN¥10.20
+12.5%
14.8%CN¥13.00CN¥8.60n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥10.06
CN¥14.52
+44.3%
21.2%CN¥19.00CN¥10.00n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥9.91
CN¥15.72
+58.6%
13.3%CN¥19.00CN¥13.00n/a5
Feb ’25CN¥9.58
CN¥15.72
+64.1%
13.3%CN¥19.00CN¥13.00n/a5
Jan ’25CN¥11.86
CN¥15.72
+32.5%
13.3%CN¥19.00CN¥13.00n/a5
Dec ’24CN¥12.48
CN¥16.40
+31.4%
10.9%CN¥19.00CN¥14.00CN¥8.504
Nov ’24CN¥12.79
CN¥17.48
+36.7%
15.4%CN¥21.80CN¥14.00CN¥8.865
Oct ’24CN¥14.21
CN¥22.04
+55.1%
3.7%CN¥23.50CN¥21.00CN¥9.065
Sep ’24CN¥16.00
CN¥22.04
+37.7%
3.7%CN¥23.50CN¥21.00CN¥7.165
Aug ’24CN¥18.98
CN¥22.84
+20.3%
7.7%CN¥25.00CN¥20.00CN¥6.815
Jul ’24CN¥16.74
CN¥22.55
+34.7%
8.2%CN¥25.00CN¥20.00CN¥7.484
Jun ’24CN¥15.99
CN¥24.30
+52.0%
7.9%CN¥27.00CN¥21.80CN¥8.874
May ’24CN¥18.88
CN¥24.30
+28.7%
7.9%CN¥27.00CN¥21.80CN¥9.074
Apr ’24CN¥20.64
CN¥21.70
+5.1%
11.3%CN¥25.00CN¥19.10CN¥10.063
Mar ’24CN¥24.09
CN¥21.70
-9.9%
11.3%CN¥25.00CN¥19.10CN¥9.913
Feb ’24CN¥18.58
CN¥20.05
+7.9%
4.7%CN¥21.00CN¥19.10CN¥9.582

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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