If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Jinlongyu Group (SZSE:002882) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Jinlongyu Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = CN¥251m ÷ (CN¥3.0b - CN¥915m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Jinlongyu Group has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 6.0% generated by the Electrical industry.
View our latest analysis for Jinlongyu Group
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Jinlongyu Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Jinlongyu Group's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Jinlongyu Group doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 22% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Jinlongyu Group's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 43% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jinlongyu Group (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should know about.
While Jinlongyu Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002882
Jinlongyu Group
Engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of wires and cables in China.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.