Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology Inc. (SZSE:002796) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 25% Price Plummet
Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology Inc. (SZSE:002796) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 3.8% in the last year.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S ratio of 2.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in China is also close to 2.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology
What Does Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.5%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 22% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S?
Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002796
Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology
Manufactures and sells elevator system products and precision metal plate systems in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.