Stock Analysis
There's No Escaping Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002786) Muted Revenues Despite A 25% Share Price Rise
Those holding Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002786) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology
What Does Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.9%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 6.3% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What Does Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002786
Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology
Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co., Ltd.