Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shenzhen Glory Medical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002551) After Shares Rise 28%

SZSE:002551
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Shenzhen Glory Medical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002551) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002551 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 35% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's P/S

Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.