Stock Analysis

Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002520) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%

SZSE:002520
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Those holding Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002520) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002520 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

How Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.6%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 11% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zhejiang RIFA Precision Machinery is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.