Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology Corp. (SHSE:688685) After Shares Rise 29%

SHSE:688685
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The Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology Corp. (SHSE:688685) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 93%.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Aerospace & Defense industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.7x, you may consider Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 13x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688685 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2024

What Does Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 1.6%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 6.7% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 39% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Jiangsu Maixinlin Aviation Science and Technology is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those make us uncomfortable.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.