Stock Analysis

Tianjin Meiteng Technology's (SHSE:688420) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

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SHSE:688420

The stock price didn't jump after Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:688420) posted decent earnings last week. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Tianjin Meiteng Technology

SHSE:688420 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024

A Closer Look At Tianjin Meiteng Technology's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Tianjin Meiteng Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥61m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥75.6m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥61m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tianjin Meiteng Technology.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Tianjin Meiteng Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥15m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Tianjin Meiteng Technology had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Tianjin Meiteng Technology's Profit Performance

Tianjin Meiteng Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Tianjin Meiteng Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Tianjin Meiteng Technology (2 are a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.