Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:605298) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

SHSE:605298
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Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:605298) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 27%.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may consider Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:605298 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 8th 2024

What Does Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. Revenue has also lifted 27% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Bide Science and TechnologyLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.