KTK Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603680) Share Price Boosted 34% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Those holding KTK Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603680) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 30x, you may still consider KTK Group as an attractive investment with its 22.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Earnings have risen firmly for KTK Group recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for KTK Group
Although there are no analyst estimates available for KTK Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, KTK Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.5% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 33% overall drop in EPS. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that KTK Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
KTK Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of KTK Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with KTK Group (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KTK Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KTK Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603680
KTK Group
Research, develops, produces, sells, and service interior systems, electrical controlling systems, and vehicle equipment for high-speed trains, metro, LRV, and ordinary rail passenger cars in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.