Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd (SHSE:603667) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zhejiang XCC Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603667) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd
What Is Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd had CN¥1.15b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥738.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥407.9m.
How Healthy Is Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.86b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥319.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥738.0m and CN¥1.03b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥417.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.27b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.8 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 8.0% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its net debt to EBITDA is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd that you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About SHSE:603667
Zhejiang XCC GroupLtd
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of bearings in the United States, Japan, Korea, Brazil, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.