Earnings Not Telling The Story For Junhe Pumps Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603617)
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 30x, you may consider Junhe Pumps Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603617) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 61.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 43%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 69% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603617
Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd
Produces and sells household water pumps in China.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.