Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Hangcha Group Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603298) Low P/E
Hangcha Group Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603298) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 67x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Hangcha Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hangcha Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 94% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 38% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hangcha Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Hangcha Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Hangcha Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603298
Hangcha Group
Manufactures and sells forklift products in China and internationally.
Outstanding track record and undervalued.