Lacklustre Performance Is Driving China First Heavy Industries' (SHSE:601106) Low P/S
China First Heavy Industries' (SHSE:601106) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for China First Heavy Industries
What Does China First Heavy Industries' Recent Performance Look Like?
China First Heavy Industries hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China First Heavy Industries will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is China First Heavy Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?
China First Heavy Industries' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 32% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 17% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 22% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why China First Heavy Industries' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that China First Heavy Industries maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for China First Heavy Industries with six simple checks.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601106
China First Heavy Industries
Manufactures and sells technical equipment in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.