Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Xiamen ITG Group Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600755) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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SHSE:600755

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Xiamen ITG Group Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600755) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 2 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. This means that investors who purchase Xiamen ITG GroupLtd's shares on or after the 26th of June will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 26th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.50 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.50 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Xiamen ITG GroupLtd stock has a trailing yield of around 6.4% on the current share price of CN¥7.80. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Xiamen ITG GroupLtd

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Xiamen ITG GroupLtd paid out 109% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 61% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

It's good to see that while Xiamen ITG GroupLtd's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

SHSE:600755 Historic Dividend June 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Xiamen ITG GroupLtd's earnings per share have dropped 10% a year over the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

We'd also point out that Xiamen ITG GroupLtd issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. It's hard to grow dividends per share when a company keeps creating new shares.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Xiamen ITG GroupLtd has delivered an average of 17% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Xiamen ITG GroupLtd is already paying out 109% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

To Sum It Up

Is Xiamen ITG GroupLtd an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Earnings per share have been in decline, which is not encouraging. What's more, Xiamen ITG GroupLtd is paying out a majority of its earnings and over half its free cash flow. It's hard to say if the business has the financial resources and time to turn things around without cutting the dividend. It's not that we think Xiamen ITG GroupLtd is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Xiamen ITG GroupLtd. For example - Xiamen ITG GroupLtd has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.