Stock Analysis
KraussMaffei Company Limited's (SHSE:600579) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 35%
KraussMaffei Company Limited (SHSE:600579) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, KraussMaffei's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Machinery industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.2x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for KraussMaffei
What Does KraussMaffei's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that KraussMaffei's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for KraussMaffei, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For KraussMaffei?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like KraussMaffei's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 5.9% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why KraussMaffei's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From KraussMaffei's P/S?
Even after such a strong price move, KraussMaffei's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of KraussMaffei confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for KraussMaffei that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of KraussMaffei's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600579
KraussMaffei
Engages in the provision of plastics and rubber production and processing machinery and systems.