Stock Analysis
Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600293) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600293) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 9.9% isn't as impressive.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Building industry is similar at about 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials
How Has Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials Performed Recently?
For instance, Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.1% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 33% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials' P/S
Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600293
Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials
Hubei Sanxia New Building Materials Co., Ltd.