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Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group's (SHSE:600248) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues
Following the solid earnings report from Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited (SHSE:600248), the market responded by bidding up the stock price. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.
View our latest analysis for Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group
Examining Cashflow Against Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥3.90b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥10b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥10b, this year, indicates high risk.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group's Profit Performance
Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 8.8% in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600248
Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group
Through its subsidiaries, engages in general engineering construction business in China and internationally.
Fair value with acceptable track record.