Guangzhou Automobile Group Valuation
Is 601238 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 601238 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 601238 (CN¥8.47) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥5.62)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 601238 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601238?
Key metric: As 601238 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 601238's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.3x |
| Sales | CN¥106.27b |
| Market Cap | CN¥70.44b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -10.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 23.7x |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 601238's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 2.6x | ||
600418 Anhui Jianghuai Automobile GroupLtd | 1.8x | 19.8% | CN¥76.2b |
600733 BAIC BluePark New Energy TechnologyLtd | 3.5x | 32.4% | CN¥51.2b |
000625 Chongqing Changan Automobile | 0.9x | 13.5% | CN¥120.4b |
601777 Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd | 4.4x | n/a | CN¥32.1b |
601238 Guangzhou Automobile Group | 0.3x | 9.2% | CN¥75.7b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 601238 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 601238's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Auto Industry?
| 3 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.7x | 14.0% | |
601238 Guangzhou Automobile Group | 0.3x | 9.2% | US$9.73b |
600104 SAIC Motor | 0.3x | 2.9% | US$28.30b |
200054 Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System | 0.3x | n/a | US$18.67m |
| 3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.7x | 25.8% | |
601238 Guangzhou Automobile Group | 0.3x | 31.4% | US$9.73b |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 601238 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the CN Auto industry average (1.8x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 601238's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.3x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.8x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 601238 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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