Haima Automobile Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000572) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Haima Automobile Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000572) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 30% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Auto industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Haima AutomobileLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Haima AutomobileLtd
How Haima AutomobileLtd Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Haima AutomobileLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Haima AutomobileLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Haima AutomobileLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 51% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Haima AutomobileLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Haima AutomobileLtd's P/S
The large bounce in Haima AutomobileLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Haima AutomobileLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Haima AutomobileLtd.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:000572
Haima AutomobileLtd
Researches, develops, designs, manufactures, sells, and financial services of automobiles and powertrains in China.
Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.