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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From GSP Automotive Group Wenzhou Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:605088) 36% Share Price Climb
GSP Automotive Group Wenzhou Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:605088) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 39% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may still consider GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd as a highly attractive investment with its 15.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Earnings have risen firmly for GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd
Although there are no analyst estimates available for GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 142% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it odd that GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd's P/E?
Shares in GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the company's performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:605088
GSP Automotive Group WenzhouLtd
Researches, develops, and sells automobile chassis systems in China, Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Oceania, and Africa.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.