Stock Analysis

Xuelong GroupLtd (SHSE:603949) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Although, when we looked at Xuelong GroupLtd (SHSE:603949), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Xuelong GroupLtd, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.035 = CN¥37m ÷ (CN¥1.1b - CN¥57m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

So, Xuelong GroupLtd has an ROCE of 3.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Auto Components industry average of 5.8%.

View our latest analysis for Xuelong GroupLtd

roce
SHSE:603949 Return on Capital Employed February 28th 2024

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Xuelong GroupLtd's past further, check out this free graph covering Xuelong GroupLtd's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Xuelong GroupLtd's ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Xuelong GroupLtd, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.5% from 29% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a related note, Xuelong GroupLtd has decreased its current liabilities to 5.3% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

What We Can Learn From Xuelong GroupLtd's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Xuelong GroupLtd. These trends don't appear to have influenced returns though, because the total return from the stock has been mostly flat over the last three years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.

One final note, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Xuelong GroupLtd (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:603949

Xuelong GroupLtd

Engages in the research, development, production, and sale of internal combustion engine cooling systems and automotive lightweight plastic products in China.

Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.

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